Project
Energy

Electro-State

Mapping China's renewable energy & transmission buildout
Year
2025
Location
China
Context
Yale School of the Environment · Independent Study
Methods
GIS mapping & spatial analysis, infrastructure dataset integration
Data
Global Energy Monitor, U.S. EIA, OpenStreetMap transmission
The Challenge

China leads the world in clean-energy deployment, but its transition is defined as much by geography as by scale: generation concentrates in resource-rich, remote regions while demand sits on the coast. This project maps the magnitude and spatial distribution of that transformation — generation assets and the transmission required to move power to load — with an emphasis on solar.

Approach

A mapping-based spatial analysis of generation and transmission infrastructure across China. Generation was mapped by source, project scale, and location; transmission by voltage class and orientation — integrating Global Energy Monitor's renewable and gigawatt-scale mega-base trackers, U.S. EIA grid data, and OpenStreetMap transmission networks.

Key Findings
  • Solar is now China's dominant renewable — over 2× wind capacity — with an inflection around 2021 and 2023 additions roughly 500% above pre-2020 levels.
  • Development concentrates in the northwest, where cheap land and high irradiance draw data centers and industry to co-locate.
  • Power moves east on a UHVDC backbone (750–1000 kV) fed by ~600 kV interprovincial lines.
  • Capacity factors near 15% and curtailment above 6% make transmission and storage the binding constraints.
Why It Matters

China's buildout shows the energy transition's binding constraint in advance: generation concentrates far from load, so transmission siting, curtailment, and load co-location decide what the capacity is worth. The pattern is directly relevant to grid planning and large-scale renewable deployment elsewhere.

Supporting Figures
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View the full report (PDF)
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